Vertical Research Advisory
Newsletter

VRA Letter: Quick Hitters; The Fed Bought it and They Broke It. Bitcoin as Flight to Safety Trade. Buy Energy Stocks. VRA Macro Call.

Good Wednesday morning. Quick hitters this AM. 1) We got a small miss on CPI data and the markets fell out of bed, with small caps and regional banks down 4% with big banks down 3%. Folks, that’s called “illiquidity”. Post ...

Posted On February 14, 20245 MIN Read
Share:
vra-default-img

Good Wednesday morning. Quick hitters this AM.

1) We got a small miss on CPI data and the markets fell out of bed, with small caps and regional banks down 4% with big banks down 3%. Folks, that’s called “illiquidity”. Post QE, the Fed IS our system, as the buyers of first and last resort. AKA financial engineering, as covered in “The Big Bribe”. Until QE, throughout my career, on days like yesterday there was always a "flight to safety trade”. Bonds ALWAYS rallied on big sell-offs in equites. But those days are gone. Bonds got smoked yesterday, along with stocks, precious metals, miners, etc. Remember the days when gold and silver were inflationary assets? The dollar jumped on the news, so there’s that…but that’s just another sign of the lack of (global) liquidity. Trust me when I tell you that its days like yesterday that really get the Fed’s attention. All it takes is a few more days like yesterday and a March rate cut will be right back on the table. 

2) Having said that, no…y...

Continue reading your article and start your free 14-day trial with VRA.

Start Free Trial

Already have an account? Sign in.

Related Post

May 15, 2024
VRA Letter: April CPI; Lowest Inflation in >3 Years. Direct Evidence; Markets Discounting Falling Inflation & Rates. Pounding the Table on PM’s/Miners

Good Wednesday morning. Heads up: I’m scheduled to be on Fox Business with the always locked-in Charles Payne and his excellent show "Making Money” in the 2 PM EST hour. Hope you can join us! Following yesterdays tame PPI, featuring a sharp downward revision in the March PPI from 0.2% to –0.1% the markets responded with a […]

May 14, 2024
VRA Letter: Tame PPI Sets the Stage for Tomorrows CPI. Interest Rate Sensitives Point to Lower Rates. Must Own; Precious Metals/Miners. Meme Stock Craze, Again. Latest from Uber-Bull Rich Ross.

Good Tuesday morning. As we covered yesterday it’s a big week for the inflation narrative. This morning we learned that the PPI came in a bit hot, even as it matched y/y estimates of 2.2% inflation, the monthly read of PPI (ex food and energy) came in at .5% vs estimates of .3%. Importantly…and this […]

May 13, 2024
VRA Letter: VRA Macro Views Fully Intact. The Week Ahead, As Rate Cuts Near. SOXL; Must Own. VRA System Buy Signals.

Good Monday morning. A quick recap of our macro views; We’ve entered a generationally strong, structural bull market, powered by:  a) US consumers and co’s in their strongest financial position in decades. b) the burgeoning “Innovation Revolution” (led by semis/tech) that will power earnings and GDP growth for years to come (2030+). c) overtly and […]

May 10, 2024
VRA Letter: VRA Quick Hitters

Good Friday morning. VRA Quick hitters. 1) "Don’t Fight the tape, don’t fight the Fed". Until yesterday…when it became clear to us that the Fed will soon start cutting rates (following June cuts from the BOE and ECB)…I had not written those words in at least two years. A truer Wall Street axiom is hard […]

May 09, 2024
VRA Letter: VRA System Trading/Investing Heads Up. Market Update; Rate Cuts Are Nearing; Don’t Fight the Tape, Don’t Fight the Fed. Pm’s/Miners; Next Leg Higher is Underway. Xtract One

Good Thursday morning. Heads up: going forward we will be more active in trading ETF’s (via our preferred leveraged and non-leveraged ETF’s). Using VRA Investing System readings to facilitate each trade, we’ll have a more proactive approach in trading our favorite ETF investment vehicles. In bull markets (this one) we’ll look to to “buy” an ETF when […]