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VRA Letter: Q4, Strongest Quarter of the Year. Pervasive Negativity; A Contrarians Delight. Seven Indicators Screaming “Buy the Dip”

Good Friday morning. Heads up; I’m scheduled to be on Charles Payne’s “Making Money” on Fox Business today in the 2PM EST hour. Hope you can join us! As we wrote yesterday: "At minimum, we’re looking for a multi-day move ...

Posted On September 29, 20234 MIN Read
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Good Friday morning. Heads up; I’m scheduled to be on Charles Payne’s “Making Money” on Fox Business today in the 2PM EST hour. Hope you can join us!
As we wrote yesterday:
"At minimum, we’re looking for a multi-day move higher to kick in. We’re about to enter both a new month and new quarter, with significant fund flows that come with it (pensions, retirement plans, share buybacks, etc). It’s common that beginning of month/quarter front-running begins about this time. October is both crash-month and bear-market-killer. Our best buying opps have come in October. While it’s too soon to say that the lows are in place, we are nearing the best buying opportunity that we’ve seen from the 10/13/22 lows. Big wall of worry is building. We’re close to a back up the truck moment.”
Q4; The Strongest Quarter of the Year
Below we see that (from 1950) the 4th quarter is the strongest of the year for the S&P 500, with average gains of 4.2% with the market higher ...

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