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VRA Letter: Global Uncertainty Often Marks Reversals. Significant Bullish Outside Reversal Days. Semis Are Leading Higher. Xtract One Tech Update.

Good Monday morning. Following Hamas attacks against Israel over the weekend global equity markets are (slightly) lower, with bond yields falling, gold +1% and oil higher by 3.8%. Welcome to another October surprise. Frankly I’m ...

Posted On October 09, 20235 MIN Read
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Good Monday morning. Following Hamas attacks against Israel over the weekend global equity markets are (slightly) lower, with bond yields falling, gold +1% and oil higher by 3.8%. Welcome to another October surprise.

Frankly I’m surprised US/global equity markets haven’t been hit more than they have on this news but what’s become a common reaction to shocks like this are immediate flight to safety trades, followed not long thereafter by reversals higher in stocks, featuring liquidity injections from central banks.

It’s very early but this appears to be localized in nature. That could quickly change if proxy wars devolve into actual wars between major nations of the world. Under Obama/Biden we had ISIS committing barbaric atrocities and now, under Biden, we have these barbaric attacks from Hamas. There’s your common thread.

VRA Market Update

Fridays trading looked like significant October bottoming/reversal action, following the hot September jobs report. Multiple, significa...

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