Newsletter

VRA Letter: Another Solid Jobs Report. Direct Evidence of the Roaring 2020’s Continues to Build. The Embarrassing Talking Heads of the Fed. Bitcoin Update.

Good Friday morning. Heads up; I'll be away next Monday - Wednesday on a due diligence trip so our morning letters may turn into mid-day letters. I do plan to get something out each day, even if brief, and of course our entire t ...

Posted On April 05, 20246 MIN Read
Share:
vra-default-img

Good Friday morning. Heads up; I'll be away next Monday - Wednesday on a due diligence trip so our morning letters may turn into mid-day letters. I do plan to get something out each day, even if brief, and of course our entire team is always watching the markets and our positions. 

Breaking: this morning we got the March jobs report and it came in a bit hotter than expected, but essentially in line elsewhere. March saw 303,000 jobs created vs estimates of 214,000 while the unemployment rate stayed unchanged at 3.8%. Hourly earnings came in at +4.1% (y/y). 

The US economy remains in excellent shape…just as one would expect in the midst of the Roaring 2020’s. 

Futures remain higher on the news (Dow +80, nasdaq +70), while gold is flat at $2308 and 10 year yields are higher (4.38%). As a reminder, during the dot-com melt-up…a period which is very similar to the innovation revolution underway today…the 10 yr yield averaged better than 6%. 

For those that may think this economic...

Continue reading your article and start your free 14-day trial with VRA.

Start Free Trial

Already have an account? Sign in.

Related Post

June 17, 2025
VRA Letter: War Drama Drives Everything. VRA “Tells”. VRA Portfolio; Positioned to Beat the Market. Falcon Oil & Gas Announces Flow Rates.

Good Tuesday morning. Markets continue to swing on news out of the Middle East, however oil remains stuck in the low $70’s with the VIX at just 20. Not exactly a ringing endorsement for the start of WW3 but you wouldn’t know it from the talking heads reminding us daily that "WW3 has already begun". […]

June 16, 2025
VRA Letter: War Risks and Tells. US Economy is Entering Hyper-Growth Phase. Portfolio Notes; TSLA, GME. Tyler’s Interview on Schwab Financial Net

Good Monday morning. Friday’s “bullets flying” market action played out essentially as history suggested it would. Oil, gold and the VIX spiked higher, but the gains were muted after the open with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing down just 1.2% on the day. This morning gold is down $19/oz to $3433 with oil down […]

June 13, 2025
VRA Letter: Watch Tyler on the Charles Schwab Network @ 2:30 est. Market Update; Tame Trading for our Teflon Bull.

Good Friday afternoon. Heads up: Tyler will be on the Charles Schwab Financial Network at 2:30 est. Hope you can join us! https://schwabnetwork.com/ Market Update Following the onset of Israeli military action against Iran we’ve seen tame trading, essentially right from the open today. Golds gains have remained in the 1.4% area (last: $3450) with oils gains […]

June 13, 2025
VRA Letter: Israel Attacks Iran.

Good Friday morning. Stocks and bitcoin are down, while gold and oil are climbing, as Israel begins fresh military attacks against Iran. I’m out of the office until mid-day but here are my early thoughts. Last April, Israel attacked the Iranian consulate in Syria, which kicked off a 7% decline two weeks in the S&P […]

June 12, 2025
VRA Letter: Risk-off Vibe. Gold & Miners; Rocketships. Portfolio News: SMR, GME, TSLA. Fox Business. Monetary Malpractice.

Good Thursday morning. It’s a bit of a risk-off vibe this morning on the heels of fresh tariff threats, the tragic Air India Boeing 787 crash (Boeing is down 7%) and increased risks of Israeli military action against Iran. As you’ve no doubt seen, the war mongers in the military industrial complex are feeding their […]