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VRA Letter: War Risks and Tells. US Economy is Entering Hyper-Growth Phase. Portfolio Notes; TSLA, GME. Tyler’s Interview on Schwab Financial Net

Good Monday morning. Friday’s “bullets flying” market action played out essentially as history suggested it would. Oil, gold and the VIX spiked higher, but the gains were muted after the open with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq ...

Posted On June 16, 20255 MIN Read
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Good Monday morning. Friday’s “bullets flying” market action played out essentially as history suggested it would. Oil, gold and the VIX spiked higher, but the gains were muted after the open with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing down just 1.2% on the day. This morning gold is down $19/oz to $3433 with oil down $.90 to $70.50/b as the markets hope a worst case scenario may be behind us. Bitcoin has held up well, trading back to $106,700 this AM. Futures are higher by .90%.

From a market timing point of view, this "war-shakeout” is taking place at the exact point where our broad markets were beginning to hit extreme OB levels on the VRA System. A pause into month-end, just prior to Q2 earnings, could serve as the pause that refreshes the bull market.

War Risks; What We’re Watching 

Oil prices, according to JP Morgan, could spike to $130/b since Iran produces 3.3 million barrels of oil per day (or 3.5% of global supply). A Strait of Hormuz shutdown is seen as a worst case scen...

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