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VRA Letter: War Drama Drives Everything. VRA “Tells”. VRA Portfolio; Positioned to Beat the Market. Falcon Oil & Gas Announces Flow Rates.

Good Tuesday morning. Markets continue to swing on news out of the Middle East, however oil remains stuck in the low $70’s with the VIX at just 20. Not exactly a ringing endorsement for the start of WW3 but you wouldn’t know i ...

Posted On June 17, 20257 MIN Read
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Good Tuesday morning. Markets continue to swing on news out of the Middle East, however oil remains stuck in the low $70’s with the VIX at just 20. Not exactly a ringing endorsement for the start of WW3 but you wouldn’t know it from the talking heads reminding us daily that "WW3 has already begun". Let’s hope and pray they continue to be wrong.

Until/unless oil is in the mid $80’s (or higher), the VIX is above 30 and until gold is breaking out to fresh ATH’s (last: $3407/oz, roughly $100 from ATH), the best discounting mechanism on the planet is telling us that things appear “manageable" in the Middle East. This is also one of those times that I remember my vote for President Trump. If there’s a way to keep us out of a war, it remains my view that Trump will find it.

In the meantime, US equities had a solid bounce-back day yesterday. Once again, it was a textbook bull market day, with the semis leading (+2.4%) Nasdaq higher (+1.5%), which then led the rest of the market higher....

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