Vertical Research Advisory
Newsletter

VRA Letter: The US Loses its Last AAA Rating. The Reality of the Downgrade. Sector Focus; Gold & Gold Miners

Good Monday morning. After the close on Friday Moodys downgraded US debt, meaning that the US has now lost its AAA credit rating from each of the three major rating services. Does this matter? First, this was not a surprise as M ...

Posted On May 19, 20254 MIN Read
Share:
vra-default-img

Good Monday morning. After the close on Friday Moodys downgraded US debt, meaning that the US has now lost its AAA credit rating from each of the three major rating services. Does this matter? First, this was not a surprise as Moodys telegraphed this move months ago. In the short to medium term, it matters little. 

Futures are lower by approximately 1%, but a short-lived pause is the only impact we should see. Yes, our markets have hit extreme OB levels…a slight shakeout here would help to resolve that…but what we believe is most important is that there is a magnet on the market dragging it to new ATH’s...then higher still. 

We continue to think that the best analogy for this market is the plandemic bear market of 2020. After the March lows were in, we had a V-shaped bottom. As Tyler covered on his Friday podcast, not only did we go to new ATH’s, but far beyond, with additional sharp gains into year end. For example, once the March lows were in, Nasdaq proceeded to rally 79% into...

Continue reading your article and start your free 14-day trial with VRA.

Start Free Trial

Already have an account? Sign in.

Related Post

March 16, 2026
VRA Letter: PSYOP of Negativity; This Pullback is a Gift. VRA System Buy Signals. Own Bitcoin (IBIT) and TAO. The Latest From Rich Ross (Still Bullish).

Good Monday morning. This weekend I forced myself to watch each of the Sunday morning news programs (Face The Nation, Meet the Press, etc). It was nonstop negativity…the sky is falling…Iran is winning…plus how could Trump and the military (plus Israels) have no clue that Iran would block the Strait of Hormuz? If you know […]

March 13, 2026
VRA Letter: Groundhog Day. FIFO, Sentiment/Fear & Seasonality Flashing Buy Signals. USD & Interest Rates; Peaking and Ready to Move Lower.

Good Friday morning. It’s starting to feel like groundhog day, repeating the same statement time and again ; “for all intents and purposes, the war has been won. The markets are moving on two things; oil prices and Strait of Hormuz traffic.” Obviously, if we see this, Team Trump sees it. It’s why yesterday Trump […]

March 12, 2026
VRA Letter: Backwardation in Oil Points to Much Lower Prices. Bullish Seasonality Begins “Now”. Tesla; Ready to Go. Falcon Oil & Gas Shareholders Approve TBN Buyout.

  Good Thursday morning. US markets were essentially flat yesterday as they continue to trade on news out of the mid-east and oil prices. After gaining 5% yesterday, oil is up another 6% this AM to $93/b. However it’s the level of backwardation that continues to stand out, with December oil futures prices trading at just […]

March 11, 2026
VRA Letter: Alert: Added NAIL. VRA System and Strategy Update. It’s Still About Oil Prices and the Strait. Semis: Still Flashing Buy Signals. FIFO.

Good Wednesday morning. VRA Alert: yesterday we added NAIL (3 x Housing ETF) to the VRA Portfolio at $48.40. VRA System and Strategy Update Today, 9/12 VRA screens are bullish, which means we must be invested in this bull market. For 3 years we’ve been the most bullish market strategists in the country. From calling the bear market […]

March 10, 2026
VRA Alert: Buy NAIL

Good Tuesday afternoon. It’s time to re-add NAIL (3 x Housing ETF) to the VRA Portfolio. As we discussed yesterday, the housing market has rarely been in a stronger fundamental position. We simply need rates to come down (for new construction) in order to get this group going again. That should begin to take place […]