Vertical Research Advisory
Log inJoin Now
Newsletter

VRA Letter: The Bears Are in Trouble. The Most Important Chart, Still Flashing Buy Signals. Front-Running July. Tesla; Skate Where the Puck is Going.

Good Wednesday morning. Solid recovery day in semis/tech yesterday, with NVDA jumping 7% and SMH + 3%. If what we’ve just witnessed was the bears best shot at taking the market down, then they’re in real trouble. While the sem ...

Posted On June 26, 20247 MIN Read
Share:
vra-default-img

Good Wednesday morning. Solid recovery day in semis/tech yesterday, with NVDA jumping 7% and SMH + 3%. If what we’ve just witnessed was the bears best shot at taking the market down, then they’re in real trouble. While the semis/Nvidia each took hits of 18%, the rest of the market only got stronger. Truly a bears worst nightmare.

The most important chart of this bull market continues to be the relative strength chart of SMH (Semi ETF) to SPY (S&P 500). For 20 months…from the birth of of the bull market...this tight ascending channel has consistently pointed to two outcomes; a) the semis have consistently led higher and b) the semis have traded within this tight channel band, which has proven to be an excellent market timing signal. Today, we see that the semis are taking a must needed (extreme overbought) breather. We fully expect the next major move in the semis/tech to be “higher”. We own SOXL (3 x Semi ETF).

Front-running Signaling Seasonal Move Higher into July

...

Continue reading your article and start your free 14-day trial with VRA.

Start Free Trial

Already have an account? Sign in.

Related Post

March 14, 2025
VRA Letter: Out of Office

Good Friday morning. We’re out of the office in meetings today. Look for our next Letter over the weekend. VRA Portfolio Focus Stocks and ETF’s: We own VRA ETF’s: TQQQ (3 x Nasdaq 100 ETF), SOXL (3 x Semi ETF), TNA (3 x R2K ETF), NUGT (2 x Miner ETF), KWEB (China Internet ETF) and NAIL (3 x Housing […]

March 13, 2025
VRA Letter: Xtract One Tech Q2. Trumps Tariff Polices, as Explained to Irelands PM. Short This Market at Your Own Peril.

Good Thursday morning. We’ll be back later in the day with a second Letter where we’ll be covering Xtract One Tech (XTRAF) Q2 earnings report from last night and their 10 AM EST call to discuss the quarter with analysts and shareholders. The webcast can be accessed here and the telephone number for the conference call is 844-481-3016 (412-317-1881 for international callers). […]

March 12, 2025
VRA Letter: February CPI; Inflation & Rates are Past-tense Concerns. Trump Buys a Tesla. FIFO; Semis, TSLA & Small Caps. The Latest from Rich Ross. Tyler on Schwab Network.

Good Wednesday morning. This mornings February CPI is in and it’s very good news all around for inflation and the markets with 2.8% (headline) and 3.1% (core). These are solid beats and the markets are surging. Dow +300, Nasdaq +300.  US CPI (Feb.) Headline M/M: 0.2% (exp. 0.3%, prev. 0.5%) Y/Y: 2.8% (exp. 2.9%, prev. 3.0%) Core […]

March 11, 2025
VRA Letter: EOSOS. Strong Global Markets Confirm This as US-Centric Decline ONLY. US Investors are Collateral Damage. Trumps Buying a Tesla. Our Key

Good Tuesday morning. After an especially tough day for US markets yesterday I expected to see global markets follow suit in this mornings early trading. Not only did European and Asian markets not get hit, but instead they are largely higher on the day. This continues to confirm for us that this move lower is US-centric only. […]

March 10, 2025
VRA Alert: Adding to SMR. VRA Market Update; Hitting 200 dma, with Seasonality Turning Bullish & Investor Sentiment at Extreme Fear. Ross; Still Bullish.

Good Monday morning. We have a VRA Alert this morning…we are adding to our position in SMR (NuScale Power). Alert: Buy SMR @ market. We are averaging into our VRA 10-bagger SMR this AM. Last: $14.60. SMR is the global leader in small modular nuclear reactors and the only company approved by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, […]