Vertical Research Advisory
VRALetter

VRA Letter: September/October Analysis. 4 Major Smart Money investment Themes. VRA Commodity Watch; Own Energy Stocks & Precious Metals/Miners.

Good Tuesday morning. Hope everyone in the states had a good Labor Day weekend. Heads up: I’ll be on Fox Business with the always smart money Charles Payne on “Making Money” in the 2PM EST hour. Hope you can join us! We come ...

Posted On September 05, 20236 MIN Read
Share:
vra-default-img

Good Tuesday morning. Hope everyone in the states had a good Labor Day weekend.

Heads up: I’ll be on Fox Business with the always smart money Charles Payne on “Making Money” in the 2PM EST hour. Hope you can join us!

We come back to the markets with futures down slightly, as investors try and make sense of still-too-high bond yields and seasonality that’s mixed, at best. Yes, September is the worst month of the year. Has been since 1950.
But its the second half of September that tends to bring the most volatility and downside action, in advance of the “crash month” October. The month of October has produced our best buying opportunities on record. Unfortunately, that’s typically because October tends to produce big sell-offs.

September is actually the only month which has been down (on avg) over the last 50 years but interestingly, there have also been six Septembers that were up more than 4%, with four of those occurring in succession (1995-1998).

Here’s the data with the...

Continue reading your article and start your free 14-day trial with VRA.

Start Free Trial

Already have an account? Sign in.

Related Post

June 11, 2026
VRA Letter: Xtract One Tech Earnings

Good Thursday morning. I’m in meetings this morning but will be back with our Letter a bit later. We’ll also be on the Xtract One Tech (XTRAF) earnings call this morning and will report back. This looks to be the most important, and certainly the most impressive earnings report from X1 to date. Here’s an […]

June 10, 2026
VRA Letter: Excellent Internals on a Bad Day. May CPI Report; a Slight Beat. Capitulation Readings in Gold Miners. Own Physical Gold/Silver, Avoid Fiat.

Good Wednesday morning. Late in the trading day yesterday we learned that Trump was planning to take fresh military action against Iran, in what they continue to call “defensive actions”, while the ceasefire remains (somewhat) intact. This sent the markets reeling mid-day although a solid afternoon rally resulted in a positive close in the Dow […]

June 09, 2026
VRA Letter: Our Bullish Themes Remain Fully Intact. Trump; Juicing the Market. China’s Warren Buffett Buys Tesla. Galaxy Digital Jumps 21%. Oil/Rates/USD.

Good Tuesday morning. Yesterday’s trading looks to have confirmed that Friday's selloff was an anomaly in an otherwise strong bull market. Our Big 3 remain: the Trump Economic Miracle, Innovation Revolution and an absolute ocean of liquidity will continue to power this market higher into the 2030’s. Dips will remain buying opportunities. From the beginning […]

June 08, 2026
VRA Letter: Fridays Selloff; the Data Says It’s a Buying Opportunity. What We’re Watching and Ready to Act On.

Good Monday morning. Following Fridays sharp selloff in Nasdaq (-4.2%), over the weekend we saw a resumption of military action between Israel and Iran, which resulted in oil jumping 5% overnight to $95/b. However, those hostilities now look to be over, with oil trading back down to $91.50 as Trump encourages both sides back to […]

June 05, 2026
VRA Letter: May Payroll Data; Red Hot. Market Update. Your Questions: Falcon Buyout, SpaceX IPO, Bitcoin/TAO, VRA Portfolio.

Good Friday morning. The May jobs report is in and the results are strong with 172,000 jobs created vs estimates of just 88,000. The unemployment rate is unchanged at 4.3%. In addition, the last two months of payroll data have been revised higher by a total of 93,000 jobs. Two points here; the economic benefits of […]