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VRA Letter: Seasonality, From Our Point of View. Still Pounding the Table on Energy; ERX, URA, Falcon. Inflation; Skate Where the Puck is Going.

Good Tuesday morning. Apologies for being a broken record but as my mentor Ted Parsons taught me (RIP Ted) “sometimes the money is made in the waiting” and with ongoing negative seasonality, “waiting” to put new money to w ...

Posted On September 12, 20236 MIN Read
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Good Tuesday morning. Apologies for being a broken record but as my mentor Ted Parsons taught me (RIP Ted) “sometimes the money is made in the waiting” and with ongoing negative seasonality, “waiting” to put new money to work in our broad market VRA Portfolio ETF’s (namely NAIL, SOXL, TNA) looks to be the smart money move, for the time being.

We’ll know that the turn higher is here when the action in our leading indicators (semis/tech, housing and transports) make that point clear.

In yesterdays Letter we shared the latest from the Stock Traders Almanac (STA) that points to the possibility of ongoing weakness (to sideways action) until the 3rd week of October. “October-phobia”…crash-month...is real.
However, I doubt that the weakness will last that long and here’s why; this is “that” bull market. Instead of being forced the wait til the 3rd week of October for a dependable bottom, I expect the lows to be in place somewhere in the first week of next month…maybe 3 weeks from now. ...

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