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VRA Letter: Next Up; Short Covering Continues. The Macro Story of the US Economy (really) Matters. Analytics & Seasonality Point to “Higher”. Gold, Silver & Miners: Remarkable Buys.

Good Monday morning. Heads up; I’m scheduled to be on Charles Payne’s “Making Money” (Fox Business) in the 2PM ET hour. Hope you can join us. Last weeks 4-day week was actually the strongest week for the S&P 500 sinc ...

Posted On April 06, 20268 MIN Read
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Good Monday morning. Heads up; I’m scheduled to be on Charles Payne’s “Making Money” (Fox Business) in the 2PM ET hour. Hope you can join us.

Last weeks 4-day week was actually the strongest week for the S&P 500 since last November. This is what we expected heading into last week as we had hit the 15-20 trading day “geopolitical shock” indicator and...because the markets are forward looking...they sniff out the end to events (like this war) before they’re over. In addition, short sellers (CTA’s, hedge funds) hit their most bearish levels since the tariff-mania lows. As we covered last week, it almost didn’t matter what happened with the war last week…these algorithmic trading systems were going to start covering their shorts, regardless.

After 5 straight down weeks, the rubber band had simply stretched too far. As to what comes next, we continue to believe the macro set-up for the US economy remains far more important than the technical side of the markets. With Q1 earnings k...

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