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VRA Letter: May CPI Report; Massive Beats, as Stocks, PM’s & Miners Lift Off. It’s Fed Day; if You’re Not Long, You’re Wrong. Buy the Dip in Miners.

Good Wednesday morning. It’s Fed Day…you’re no doubt as excited as we are. But first, this morning we got the May CPI data and “boom", it’s a massive beat. Stocks are flying higher, as are precious metals and miners, ...

Posted On June 12, 20244 MIN Read
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Good Wednesday morning. It’s Fed Day…you’re no doubt as excited as we are. But first, this morning we got the May CPI data and “boom", it’s a massive beat. Stocks are flying higher, as are precious metals and miners, with 10-year yields getting smoked down to 4.29%.

❖ U.S CPI (MOM) (MAY) ACTUAL: 0.0% VS 0.3% PREVIOUS; EST 0.1%

❖ U.S CPI (YOY) (MAY) ACTUAL: 3.3% VS 3.4% PREVIOUS; EST 3.4%

❖ U.S CORE CPI (MOM) (MAY) ACTUAL: 0.2% VS 0.3% PREVIOUS; EST 0.3%

❖ U.S CORE CPI (YOY) (MAY) ACTUAL: 3.4% VS 3.6% PREVIOUS; EST 3.5%

Last week it was our view that Friday’s jobs data was an outlier and that powerful disinflationary forces would continue to propel the markets and economy higher. This CPI report (should) put the nail in the coffin of inflationary fearmongers.

We’ve been hyper-focused on this chart in particular, that of 10 year yields and the technical breakdown below this all-important trend line, which is now serving as resistance. Chart perfection, should it hold (i...

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