Vertical Research Advisory
Log inJoin Now
Newsletter

VRA Letter: January Barometer Buy Signal. The Truth About Trumps Tariffs. Never Sell on a Monday. Big Bribe Megatrend; Animal Spirits

Good Monday morning. Welcome to deja vu. If this Monday mornings open feels familiar it’s because it is. Last weeks weak open brought China’s AI DeepSeek, which sent the market’s tumbling, while this morning weakness is due ...

Posted On February 03, 20256 MIN Read
Share:
vra-default-img

Good Monday morning. Welcome to deja vu. If this Monday mornings open feels familiar it’s because it is. Last weeks weak open brought China’s AI DeepSeek, which sent the market’s tumbling, while this morning weakness is due to Trumps tariffs, or as the MSM is calling it; "a new trade war”.

As I write, Dow Jones futures are lower by 600 points (-1.3%) while Nasdaq is lower by 400 points (1.9%)

First things first. Even as the markets gave up solid Friday gains only to reverse lower with an hour to go (as Trump announced that tariffs would begin over the weekend), the month of January still finished in the green (and did so for each US index). The significance of this is important, because as goes January so goes the rest of the year. Below we see that following a strong January, the S&P 500 is up 12.2% on avg and up 86.7% of the time.

The Truth About Trumps Tariffs

Why Trumps tariffs are a mystery, is a mystery to me. Trump campaigned and won on MAGA, with his pri...

Continue reading your article and start your free 14-day trial with VRA.

Start Free Trial

Already have an account? Sign in.

Related Post

February 14, 2025
VRA Letter: What a Time to Be Alive. “The Big Bribe” Continues to Play Out. GameStop & BTC. KWEB Getting Hot. BTC/ARKB: Buy. Lost Soldier Oil and Gas; Bruner Interview.

Good Friday morning. Heads up; US markets are closed on Monday for Presidents Day and there will be no Letter or Podcast. What a time to be alive. What a time to be an American. As Tyler covered on his podcast yesterday, it’s essentially impossible to keep up with the moves of the Trump Administrations first 3 weeks. 3 weeks! This […]

February 13, 2025
VRA Letter: “The Economists Agree” Has Produced Another Significant Contrarian Set-up.

Good Thursday afternoon. Our research this morning led us to something important. And it’s been staring us right in the face, the whole time. Over my 40 years in the business, some of my biggest investment wins have come from betting against economists, especially when they're all on one side of an issue.  Folks, this is a smart […]

February 13, 2025
VRA Letter: Contrarians are Salivating. Fox Business “Making Money”. Precious Metals and Miners; Just Barely Getting Started.

Good Thursday morning. If you’re a bear, yesterday’s action wasn’t exactly what you wanted to see. The markets opened with sharp losses on a “hot" CPI report, only to see one of the most interest rate sensitive groups…tech stocks/Nasdaq…rally all the way back to close green. It’s not the news that matters, it’s the markets […]

February 12, 2025
VRA Letter: Fox Business @ 2:15 EST. Tesla, 2025. “Hot” CPI? VRA Portfolio Results. Getting the Macro Right is “Everything”. LSOG Zoom.

Good Wednesday morning. Heads up: I’m scheduled to be on Fox Business “Making Money” today at 2:15 pm EST to talk about the recent action in Tesla and broader markets. As I said to Charles Payne and his producers last night, we are adding to positions here. Following historically excellent 4th quarters, 1st quarters are historically their worst. With […]

February 11, 2025
VRA Letter: Lost Soldier Zoom. “Buy Into the Fear”. Market Tell: Still the Semis. Rich Ross; Buy! The Fed. Tariff Conundrum. Tesla: A Distracted Musk. Gold Hitting EOBOS.

Good Tuesday afternoon. Heads up: tonight at 8PM EST we’ll join the Lost Soldier Oil and Gas team for their latest updates. You’ll want to be on this Zoom. The link to the webinar is https://zoom.us/j/99303029980?pwd=kc4QpvmNf3Wvjn364XgCM0hlAjmbLz.1 Passcode (if needed): 738077 As a longtime VRA member told us this AM, "maybe it’s time for a Tesla paywall and Starlink, […]