Welcome back to the VRA Investing Podcast! In today’s episode, Kip Herriage breaks down a fascinating day in the markets, where headline numbers showed a decline, but everything beneath the surface pointed towards ongoing streng ...
Don’t look back because the market is closed. Good Wednesday afternoon, everyone. Kip Herriage here with the daily VRA investing podcast. Hope you had a good day today. Lots to talk about here and it’s important stuff because the market’s talking to us. Tyler and I were watching the market all day long going, this is interesting because the market’s down. But literally everything supporting the market said it’s going to keep going higher and probably should have been higher today. Actually.
[00:00:26]:
It’s kind of hard to to find out why the market was down today. Nasdaq was down 230, well off the lows. Pretty good smart money hour. Dow Jones finished down 42, had been much, much lower, down over 300 points at one point along with Nasdaq. So we saw a good comeback. Russ 2000 actually finished positive today. Again, small caps. As you know, we’ve been pounding the table on small caps.
They continue to rock and roll up a 710 of a percent today. But the real story again is what happened underneath the surface. This is again the if you want to find out what the markets are doing, just listen, just pay attention. Because we’re trend followers, right? So clearly we’re in a bull market. Clearly stocks are going higher. That’s the easy part. We know the direction now. We’ve got to get these counter moves and primary trend moves separated from one another.
And here’s what we saw today again, market, generally speaking, lower today gets ball caps up. Semis today were down off their lows as well, though. So the semis have been leading today. Gave back 1.2%. But what now is starting to take take the reins. Bitcoin over the last, I would say it’s four years at least when bitcoin and the semis are moving in the same direction. That is a side of the market that you not want to be on. It’s the side of the market that you must be on.
Look, there was some chatter today, as you probably heard, about Trump attacking Iran again. He came out and denied that just a few minutes before the close. Said they’re getting their act together. They’re not killing as many people. I think it’s essentially what he said. Nervousness continues around scotus, Supreme Court and they’re hearing on tariffs again. Everybody expected that to come this morning. Once again, it did not.
And now there’s really no estimate for when that might happen. I think they meet again next week. So maybe we’ll get something, maybe we won’t. But we know that Trump has been a bulldog on tariffs. We know how much he believes in it. He speaks about it every day. This guy, when he comes to, you know, forcing things to happen, manifesting your destiny, there’s, I don’t know that we’ve seen anybody better than Donald Trump. When he wants something to happen, he speaks it into existence.
[00:02:30]:
He does it forcefully, he does it regularly. And again, he’s a complete bulldog. I admire that so much. Really been nobody quite like this guy. When it comes to manifesting what you want to see happen, what Trump is doing is applying pressure. This is what he’s great at, using leverage and applying pressure. He does it to all of his battle enemies. And I, I kind of think what’s happening here with this whole, with this whole Federal Reserve thing, look, Pal, pal is going to be gone in May.
We all know that Trump, Trump knows that there’s no way to replace him. So what is Trump going after here? Let me put, put out a theory for you that I think might be what is going on. Because again, Trump knows how to use leverage and pressure better than anybody. What do we know about the Federal Reserve? Well, we know that they’re the most dangerous cartel on the planet. They’re most powerful, most dangerous cartel on the planet. We know the Federal Reserve is, you know, at the, the centerpiece. Right. Of the banking cartel.
[00:03:29]:
So if Trump wants to really get. And that’s. We’re talking deep state, folks. We’re talking complete deep state. Right. Again, for your new folks here, George Griffin, creature from Jekyll island, old friend of mine for 25 years or so, had him speak at a bunch of events, I don’t know, at least 15 events over a decade. And he did two presentations. The Creature from Jekyll island, which of course is the bible on the Federal Reserve of the Federal Reserve.
And then he talked about the seven cartels that rule the world. And the number one cartel is the banking cartel. Right. If Jared Griffin knows it, Trump knows it. So what’s, what do I think he’s doing here? Possibly. And I think, I think if you return the lines, I think this is what’s going on. Trump is applying maximum pressure, pressure to the Federal Reserve. He knows that if he keeps digging, there’s a lot to find there, a lot to uncover.
[00:04:23]:
And the deep state and these, this banking cartel has to be nervous about this because if Trump unwinds this, what are we going to find out? If you think 911 was a big deal, I think what we find about the Federal Reserve and the damage they’ve done, we already know, don’t we? I mean, US dollar lost 98% of its value since the Federal Reserve came into existence in 1913. We all know that. Again, this is not talked about at all. And it should be talked about on financial TV all the time, which is why it’s not okay. Again, the cartel owns these financial networks. So you could tell, as Tyler covered yesterday, they’re all lined up on the same side. The Fed must have their independence, right? No, no, no. They don’t need to have their independence.
Look at what they’ve done to the American people. Again, destruction of the dollar and the fact that in most every family, both spouses have to work. They may not want to, but both have to work just to keep up with this dollar destruction. To bring home, you know, two incomes to make up what one income would bring home just 30, 40 years ago. This is all the Federal Reserve. And again, I wish the American people understood this better, because that’s where their anger would be brought to bear and beyond the Federal Reserve, which is why Ron Paul has been right. Ron and Rand Paul have been right about this for so long. End the Fed.
[00:05:42]:
Trump is threatening that because he is applying pressure, because he wants the Supreme Court to rule in his favor on tariffs. Look, we’re talking about a couple of cartels here. The Supreme Court, if you remember the ruling against for Obamacare, you know how Roberts ruled that, that never should have been approved into law as a tax, right? And then, of course, John McCain, you know, cast the deciding vote for the Republican Senate to keep it in place. But you’ve got that. And then you’ve got, of course, everything else the Supreme Court has done to hurt the American people. We supposedly have a conservative Supreme Court now, but in some of the rulings, you can’t make heads or tails of it. Doesn’t make any sense, does it? It’s because they’re being told what to do, the deep states controlling these groups and. And telling them what to do.
So I think Trump is applying again, just as Kips. This is Kip’s conspiracy theory here today. I think Trump’s applying pressure. He’s doing it through the Federal Reserve and saying, hey, if you don’t want me to keep digging on all of the damage you’ve done to the American people with the Federal Reserve, then approve my tariff policy. It seems like something Trump would do to me. And I think it might explain why the Fed keeps delaying this decision on tariffs. Because Trump’s applying tariffs, not a little pressure. He’s applying a lot of pressure.
[00:07:01]:
Bottom line knows this. With or without the Supreme Court ruling in Trump’s favor, it just isn’t going to matter. They got backup plans. I don’t think that’s why the market has been soft the last couple of days. Right. I also don’t think it has much to do with Iran. I don’t think, I don’t see Trump attacking Iran again. Again he’s using leverage here and pressure by implying that he may bluffing against Trump is not typically been a good idea because if you piss him off just enough, he’ll follow through on it and they know he will.
I think what’s, what really has been happening here in the markets is we just had such a big run up, right? We’ve had such a powerful fire. The markets just needed to take a breather. The rubber bands stretched a little too far. Now we never got to our most overbought levels of extreme overbought on steroids. On steroids on any of our major indexes. We got close, right? We’re definitely heavily overbought but we never hit extreme about levels. So I think that this is the market taking a break. And again the leadership is the semis in bitcoin again.
I got to repeat this in my career, certainly in the last four or five years when these two are going up again. Semis are down today, but they have been leading the way higher of course. And bitcoin is back. Bitcoin is back, folks. I think when bitcoin moves, it moves powerfully. And today this is the most important point. Bitcoin today showed no weakness. Gold today showed no weakness.
Kip Herriage [00:08:29]:
Silver showed no. These are all primary liquidity drivers of the market. When these groups, these sectors are going up, when a market’s going down, you have very little to be worried about because your leaders are still moving in the primary trend direction. I hope that makes sense. That’s, that’s how we look at it here. But we also have something else that back that up. Did you happen to catch the internals today? Holy cow. Again, NASDAQ down 240.
That’s not nothing. A Dow had been down close to 400 points. That went over 300 points at least at one point. Again, that’s not nothing. Yesterday was weakness as well. So how exactly was it. And I’ll cover the internals now. How exactly was it that NYSE advanced decline was 2 to 1 positive.
[00:09:14]:
That, that, that’s, that doesn’t fit. That’s, that’s. You don’t see that happen very often. Maybe once or twice a Year and that’s about it. Same thing with Nasdaq again. Nasdaq down 240. Nasdaq was advanced to climb positive one and a half to one. And then the volume was even, I think even more impressive.
Nyse up volume 63.1%. Nasdaq up volume 69.5%. Again. Nasdaq down 1%. Exactly. But volume was up. Volume was 69.5% positive. Again.
These are anomalies and they stand out. So I’ve got a little bit more for you. Just saw some really good data on this. Let me find this here. When you see really good breath like this, really good internals on a down day like this, this is what the data is, what the analytics tell you is going to happen. Now, this what we saw today, I told you it was rare. It’s only happened since 2001. It’s only happened eight to nine times.
00:10:16]:
I think it’s 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. It’s like 10 times. Okay, happened 10 times. One day, two days, three days, four days, one week later, two weeks later, one month later, the market’s been higher every single time, Every single time with pretty good gains of one to one and a half percent. So this tells us that we should expect a rally tomorrow. And I would expect to also see tomorrow the semis continue their major move higher. I think Bitcoin again. I think bitcoin’s about to go on a run here again.
Last trade now 97,400. Just off the highs of the day. Highs the day was 97. 8. So we just off the highs today by $400 a Bitcoin. So again, the internals couldn’t be, couldn’t be stronger today like this. Leadership groups look fantastic. And again, not worried about Iran, frankly, not worried about scotus.
:
But we have not been. That’s not been a real concern of ours, as we’ve said consistently. Should we get a big downdraft because of the SCOTUS ruling on tariffs, that’s going to be a buying opportunity. That’s how we’re going to approach you here, both in VRA portfolio and in our parabolic options program 24, which just launched today, by the way, just placed our first trade in parabolic options number 24 today. And it was Bitcoin, by the way. Bitcoin calls also today, you know, another driver for the market to be lower today. You see the bank stocks, BKX was down 7, 10 of a percent. No huge damage.
But all the leaders that have announced earnings, all down 4 or 5% from announcing earnings. What does this tell us? Why are they going down? Well, the numbers were good. They’re going down because again, Trump is using leverage about these credit card rates getting a cap on of 10%. The markets know that they should take Trump seriously even though most people think he’s just bluffing. Right. Because he likely can’t do this by executive order. It’s going to take congressional ruling. We know they’re not going to where we know that this Congress with these rhinos in this unit party, we know they’re not going to rule to, to cap credit card rates at 10%.
[00:12:23]:
That’s just not going to happen. They’re too much, you know, they’re in their back pockets. Right. Sad reality, but it’s a reality. But I think really what’s happening here with the banks is that it’s, it’s, it’s karma. You know, we talk about the Federal Reserve. Jay Powell like to talk about being here for the entire America, all of the American people. Second America too.
Right. Well, if that’s the case, Jay Powell should be joining in on the demands for credit card companies to reduce their credit card rates to 10% because of Jay Powell’s damage by keeping rates high when they should not be there. Cover as Tyler covered yesterday, we covered with the CPI report. We don’t have inflation. Right. It’s not happening. Trump. So Powell’s got nothing to rely on when he tries to attack Trump because of with interest rate policy.
So the Fed should be in favor of credit card caps. The Fed should be in favor of lower rates, but they’re not. They’re using this as the leverage that they have against Trump. Again, this is, this is the big battle going on here. So I’m all for the banks getting crushed. Again, I think that the enemy of the people, the banking cartel certainly is. They’re destroying the second America. And I think if you hear anyone that’s supporting the Federal Reserve yesterday, when you hear people supporting the Fed’s position or when they need their independence, Trump shouldn’t be doing this.
[00:13:52]:
You know that you’re hearing from someone that has either been propagandized by the media, either that and that’s all the financial media, or you’re hearing from someone that’s in the system. This is like, this is like when, when the pandemic happened, pandemic launched, and all the media, right. All of the leaders of our US and global world, they were all on the same side. That’s how we knew, that’s how we knew that it was a rig job. Right. But that’s what we’re happening now. The exact same people calling it a plandemic are on the side of the Federal Reserve. Again, the average American does not know most of this and that’s why it’s our job to help wake them up.
But again I’m telling you, everything we’re seeing here today was a one off essentially. And again this, these, these dips will not last long. We have a melt up bull market. We now have something really powerful happening. Again Tyler talked about yesterday, global inflation, trade, global markets. Tyler told me six or seven major global indexes hit all time highs today. And so again this is a coordinated center. It’s, it is coordinated, right? It is coordinated because they’re all moving together and they’re moving the right direction.
This is super bullish. Again, these dips should be very short lived. I would tell you that if we open lower tomorrow we’re going to be taking additional action both in, in both, both parabolic and in VRE portfolio because again the charts look fantastic. We’ve had a little bit of a pullback now, a little bit of a pause that’s removed some of these overbought readings especially in stochastics, our leading momentum oscillator. And yeah, that, that’s how we’re going to keep playing it here. It’s going to be a monster of a year and dips will be short lived. All right, let’s get to it. Today the internals again.
[00:15:44]:
I just covered those very strong internals today for, for a weak market, a sector watch not quite as strong. Still positive though. We had six sectors finished higher, five finished lower. Led to the upside by energy up 2.2%. Again global reflation trade. At some point that’s going to affect energy stocks as well. Excuse me, energy, oil prices, gas prices, Energy stocks of course are just rocking and rolling. Hitting all time high yesterday.
Simmer staples also better 1% as was real estate. To the downside. Consumer discretionary down 1.7%. Tech down 1.4%. Again we think this is very short lived this pause here. The commodity watch again just incredible moves higher. As I wrote this morning, Gold has a magnet tied to it of 5,000. That’s where gold is going on this move.
Silver has a magnet tied to it of 100. That’s roughly a move of 7 to 8% for both of those to reach their targets. And that’s where they’re going. It’s very common for a big number, 105,000 it’s very common for these big numbers to be hit and then for sell pressure to come in, right. The buyers have used up all of the energy they have. So they, they’re, they’re just happy, right? They’re happy their targets have been hit, but the shorts come in and then those taking profits come in. It’s very common to get shakeouts when, when these big numbers are hit and doesn’t matter what you’re talking about, these ass. Any asset hitting a big number, this tends to happen too.
[00:17:10]:
Doesn’t guarantee it’s going to happen, but it does tend to happen. But again, I think we got Magnus here. But trust me, that will not be the final high. That will be a just a temporary overbought high. And again, this group is also hitting extreme overbought levels. But I, again, I got to tell you, this is that everything bull market for any, any, any asset that’s considered to be inflationary. And now that with gold and silver we’re seeing true price discovery, the manipulation lower has come to an end. This group is a bull market’s just getting started.
That means the miners are really just getting started again. Gold today up 34 at 46.33 an ounce. 710 of a percent. Silver today up 7%. 9320 announced. Copper today up 1.3%. Right, another all time high. $6.09 a pound.
Crude oil again down a little bit. Energy stocks are up. Crude oil is flat today. At last Trade here is $61.05 a barrel for West Texas Intermediate. And finally bitcoin again covered it earlier. Last trade now 97,400 on the day. That puts it up 1.7% on the day. All right, folks, always appreciate you listening.
Hope you had a great day and even better night. We’ll see you back here again tomorrow after the close.
In today’s episode, Kip dives into a jam-packed week on Wall Street, headlined by the historic SpaceX IPO and what it signals for the ongoing bull market. From on-the-ground insights at the New York Stock Exchange to the parallels between today’s market and the dot-com era, Kip explores why the cycle is still in its early stages, explains the powerful forces behind market movements—including war, liquidity, and algorithmic trading—and offers his trademark optimism for what's ahead. You'll also hear Kip take on America's exceptionalism, the unprecedented government investments in innovation and technology, and why he believes now is one of the most exciting and opportunistic times to be an investor. Plus, he’ll break down the latest trends in rates, housing, gold, and Bitcoin, and share personal reflections on mindset and gratitude for navigating today’s markets. Tune into today's podcast to learn more.
In today’s episode Kip dives deep into the factors driving this major turnaround. Kip explores the latest developments from the Oval Office—highlighting President Trump’s new deal with Iran and its immediate impact on oil prices, interest rates, and the US dollar. We’ll discuss the dramatic bounce in gold, silver, and miners, the significance of algorithm-driven trading during volatile times, and why these moves could signal a powerful reset in the markets. Kip breaks down why the primary trend for oil, rates, and the dollar may now be headed lower, what that means for interest-rate sensitive sectors, and shares personal investing lessons learned through challenging cycles. Plus, we touch on exciting IPO news, updates on Tesla's self-driving tech, and why certain market sectors—especially small caps and gold miners—might be setting up for explosive upside. Tune into today's podcast to learn more.
In today's episode, Tyler breaks down a volatile market session shaped by geopolitical tensions, including an escalating Iranian conflict and a high-profile True Social post from Donald Trump. You’ll hear key insights on what’s happening under the surface of the markets, the resilience of the semiconductor sector despite heavy selling, and a dive into sentiment indicators that may surprise you. Tyler also shares his perspectives on the upcoming midterms, why political certainty matters to markets, and delivers an exciting update on SpaceX and its ambitious plans for Mars colonization. Plus, get the latest on sector performance, the Fear & Greed Index, and what the data means for investors looking ahead to the end of the year. Stay tuned for a well-rounded analysis and the contrarian moves shaping today’s market landscape. Tune into today's podcast to learn more.
Welcome to another episode of the VRA Investing Podcast with your host, Tyler Herriage. In today’s show, Tyler Herriage breaks down the strong start to the week for the markets, following a tough sell-off last Friday—the worst day of the year so far for the S&P 500. He discusses why there’s no need to panic, sharing historical stats that reinforce this bull market’s staying power and why short-term dips are just part of the journey. We’ll cover major headlines like Tesla’s surge on the back of big news from their newest major investor—the “Chinese Warren Buffett”—as well as what’s heating up in the IPO world with OpenAI’s recent filing. Tyler Herriage will review key index moves, sentiment readings, sector highlights, internals, and commodities including Bitcoin and notable winners like Galaxy Digital. Plus, he touches on practical investment strategies, the outlook for VRA’s favorite “10 bagger” stocks, and why now could be a generational opportunity for retail investors. Stay tuned for all the essential stats, stories, and actionable insights from today’s market action!
In today's episode, Kip breaks down a turbulent Friday in the markets, where a brutal selloff sent shockwaves through major sectors but also revealed underlying signals of opportunity. From a rare 39% spike in the VIX to sharp declines in semiconductors, gold, and bitcoin, Kip explores why volatility is the true price of admission in bull markets and why panic selling may be the biggest mistake investors can make right now. With insights on recent jobs data, upcoming IPOs, and critical market indicators, this episode is packed with the actionable analysis and contrarian perspective you need to navigate today's market chaos and prepare for the opportunities ahead. Tune into today's podcast to learn more.
