Don’t look back because the market is closed. Good Monday afternoon everyone. Kip Herriage here with the Daily VRA Investing podcast. Hope you had a good day today. Hope your weekend was a good one as well. If you like playoff football, did we not see some spectacular games over this past weekend? Great start to the playoffs. Of course our Texans play tonight playing the Steelers. Sam just shared this with me.
If you’re, if you’re a Texans, maybe you’re a Steelers fan, right? The, the Steelers. This is, this is hard to believe but it’s True. The Steelers are 23 and oh on Monday Night Football. They’ve never lost. Of course this tonight’s money on football and the Texans are.06 in the playoffs on the road. So if you like analytics, as you know we do, if you like data, that’s a pretty powerful repeating pattern. As Texans fans, you know we, we think we’re going to break that pattern. But anyway should be hopefully going to be a good game tonight and again, hope you’re all doing great.
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Good day today. Matter of fact it was an impressive day, was it not? Dow Jones at one point was down close to 500 points. It was our loser on the day but it still rallied all the way back to positive. Matter of fact all of our indexes did. We had all time highs today. Again S500, Dow Jones Small Caps Rust 2000 and the semis. This is folks, this is textbook bull market action. The semis are leading, nasdaq’s following the semis and the rest of the markets following both of those leading indexes.
It’s happening on broadening action. That’s again that’s the semis hitting all time highs. It’s gonna be the, the small caps hitting all time highs. That tells you the kind of broadening actions taking place here. A lot of excite by the way. I want to put this out there. As a lot of you know we have a pair. We have an options program as well as our VRA investment newsletter and we’re launching parabolic options number 24.
We’ve had 23 of these programs. It is hard to believe going on our 10th year of doing parabolic options. Anyway, these are four month programs. We just wrapped up 23 parabolic number 23 with profits of 300, net profits of 376%. Yeah, that’s for four months. So it’s a very, very good program. And we’ve had of all the programs we’ve done these, these 23 we’ve done, 84% of the programs have been Profitable and that the net return is now, I think up to 127% per program. Look, I’m sure there’s somebody out there who’s done better.
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We’re just not sure who they are. So we’re pretty proud of our returns, frankly, in both of our programs. And as I said last week, and I’ll repeat it for our new folks here, and again, great having you all with us. Thank you very much for listening. We’re grinders, you know, we’re grinders here. That’s me, that’s Tyler, that’s Josh, that’s Sam, that’s Danielle. We take a lot of pride in doing the best job that we know how to do. And that means we have to stay locked in.
All right, you got to stay locked in. This has got. It’s consuming. I’ll be on. But the good thing is that doesn’t sound healthy, probably. I’ve got a very close knit family. The fact that we all do this together, including my wife Cindy, that helps a lot. The fact that we all love it and, you know, getting to meet so many of you and just all the places taken us, et cetera, it’s just been fantastic.
It’s, it’s the, it’s the perfect thing for the heritage family, I will tell you. But the other thing is that, you know, as most of you know, I don’t, I don’t come from money. I went up on Wall street, but I never fit in there because I was not a blue blood, you know, I didn’t have a trust fund. I come from at least a second America. I joke often. It’s the third America. Bottom line is we did not have money growing up. But I always knew, like a lot of you listening, I wanted to change that.
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And so now here I am, 41 years later, you know, doing the same thing, and off Wall street. Now, I can tell you it’s been much more rewarding, much more fun, and much more fulfilling than being on Wall street has been. So, again, hope for those that like to trade options. You know, you don’t. The way we do it is very simple. You, you don’t have to be an expert. We have a lot of. Matter of fact, I would say most of the people that are in our parabolic options program, when they first joined it, they had never traded options in their lives.
We keep it very simple. If you can trade stocks, you can trade options. We only use puts and calls. We use VR investing system to make sure we’re on the right side of the market and then we’re in the right sectors, in the right stocks, in the right options. And for us, we, as you, a lot of you know, we, we really prefer to use ETFs. We use ETFs for most of our options position, not all, but most. And ETFs are fantastic as like a lot of you know, personally, we use them of course in the bureau of portfolios, leveraged ETFs that we like that extra juice. It’s worked well for us.
But as far as options go, think about this. If you invest in an etf, you no longer have to worry about something goofy happening at one company. Also again, as you options investors will know these, these premiums on individual companies. For example, we were looking at Apple call options as a possibility. And these premiums are so outrageous that you’ve got to have, you got to have high confidence in the, in the, in the directional move for it to make sense. And we just don’t, we don’t care for that. We like ETFs because the call premiums input, we do trade both sides. Right now we’re in a bull market.
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We don’t want to fight that. So we’re doing nothing but call options right now, right? Betting on an etf, whatever that may be, whether it’s nasdaq, semis, gold miners, small caps, whatever it may be, you know, we don’t want to fight. You never want to fight the primary trend in options trading, really frankly, in trading period. That’s why trend followers do so well in beating the market year in, year out. Why fight the market? That, that’s. The stock market’s smarter than all of us combined. The stock market’s telling you what it wants to do. It’s telling us right now, is it not? So Anyway, we’re launching Parabolic 24 tomorrow.
You’ll see that email tomorrow morning at bright and early. I think we’re scheduling to send it out at like 7am that’d be 8 o’ clock Eastern. If you want to be part of. You have any questions, shoot us an email, let us know. We do already have trades lined up probably as early as Wednesday morning. We’ll be initiating our first trades. We never have more than three positions at one time anyway. If you have an interest in options, but take a look at how we do it.
You’ll see that email first thing in the morning. What else today? I’ll say there’s a lot of excitement building, I mean a lot by the smart money investors we’ve been talking about this with you for the last week. Trump is speaking at Davos next week. I forget the exact day, but it’s like just over a week away. And he’s going to bring it. Like, people close to Trump are already giving, already giving it away. He. He’s going to bring these global, globalist foreign leaders to heal.
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He’s going to make sure they understand exactly what the Trump Doctrine is. Now, if you’ve been with us a while, you know that just after Trump was elected, I put out a piece calling it what he was going to do in the second term of the Trump Doctrine, in essence. And this is what I believe he’s going to bring. He’s going to bring. These globalist leaders at Davos is going to make this message very clear, as you’ve seen, with other countries that decide they don’t want to work with us, be it Iran, be it Venezuela, be it the, the eu, whatever, whatever part of the world decides they want to continue doing things the wrong way. Which means. Yeah, not the Trump way. What is the Trump Way? It’s.
It’s free market capitalism through and through, right? It’s, it’s getting rid of as many regulations as possible. It’s making people, it’s giving people the leverage instead of governments and big corporations the leverage. It’s probably very difficult to keep big corporate America or any, any big company out of the equation. But again, that’s just the capitalist system. That’s how it works. But this is what Trump’s all about. The Trump Doctrine is essentially this, telling globalist leaders you can do things the way we’re doing them by taking your boot off of the throat of the people that you rule and let them live a successful, profitable life without you. You know, again, First Amendment, Second Amendment, again, censorship.
I don’t know that the UK or Canada can do much about gun rights now, and they’ve lost that, but you get the point. And if they don’t, Trump’s going to tell them, hey, you’re free to do whatever you want. You’re your own country. Just know that we’re going to crush you. Our economy is growing so rapidly. And again, we’re only in year one of Trump. Right? Trump. Trump.
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Trump. Trump. Round two. The US Economy is going to grow again. With the Trump Doctrine. Everything he stands for is growing so rapidly, we are going to consume these other countries. They can either work with us or they can shrivel and die. That’s the Trump Doctrine.
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And I believe that’s exactly what we’re going to hear at Davos. And by the way, he’s also making it very clear behind the scenes, if you know who Bill Pulte is, runs a hud. Bill Pulte and Trump have been speaking to home builders. You know, this is one of, this is one of our three favorite groups for 20, 26 home builders, small caps and semis. And when we recommended the semi, the, the housing stocks, it was very much a contrarian call, but we thought we had a pretty good idea of what Trump’s going to do because Trump knows what we know. He knows a lot more than we do, of course. But, but one of the things that we know, that we know he knows is that housing is the most important asset in America. It’s the leading economic indicator for the economy.
There’s not a close second. Some people think it’s transportation. It is not. It’s housing. And Trump knows to really get the US Economy cooking with gas, the housing market has to come back to life. Yes, the housing market has never been stronger than it is. That’s just, that’s a hardcore hard, cold fact again, for our new folks here. 40% of Americans have no mortgage to pay off their home.
Average home equity is 71%. Again, these are all time highs, $35 trillion. I think Tyler told me that number is up to $37 trillion now, regardless, a very large number, another all time high sitting in home equity. Again, the way a normal economy is supposed to work is that when homeowners get too much home equity again, it doesn’t always make sense to pay off your home. Right. I can have this debate with anybody and you’re going to lose because it makes more sense to have a mortgage at a low interest rate and then put the money to work into the market or maybe into more housing. That’s just a, it’s an economic equation that, that holds true 10 out of 10 times. Some people just feel better having their paid home paid off.
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I understand that. Again, the wounds are still very fresh from the financial crisis and the housing crash. All right? And that’s going to take at least a generation for a lot of people to get over that. Some people just won’t. But most Americans are starting to realize, okay, Trump’s got a handle on this animal. Spirits are without question coming back. People are getting more and more bullish, more and more excited. This is happening.
You don’t have to accept it. Just, I’m telling you, this is happening. This is how multiple markets gain speed. And that’s exactly the market we have now. So I believe that Trump and Pulte are about to lay down the law for home builders in the US this is happening, I’m telling you, it’s happening behind the scenes now. We’ve been writing about this. Major change is coming in this housing market. It’s gonna be great for home builder stocks again.
They always, you know, these markets always discount, right? What’s, what’s happening is that’s why the home builders have been so hot over the last week, week or so. And we think again, this move is just getting started. But again that’s happening. We’re very bullish in the home builders. So small caps and semis again. Also tomorrow we get to Q4 earnings start kickoff with the big banks tomorrow morning before the Open. J.P. morgan announces.
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Look, as if you know us, you know that at least me, I’ll speak for myself. I think Tyler, Tyler, like Tyler, likes financials and banks more than I do. I couldn’t care less about the bank, especially big banks. Fintechs may be a different story. I just don’t, I don’t know it that well. It’s not my expertise, not my wheelhouse very much as much. But these big banks I just don’t care about. Look, it’s a cartel and I choose not.
I, I don’t invest in military industrial complex, no interest. I, I don’t care how much money I can make in it. I, I like to sleep well at night. So I avoid that. Just as I avoid bank stocks, but that’s just me. But having said that, if I didn’t have such a strong dislike for the banks, I would, we would own base stocks here. All right. And I think the chart looks fantastic.
We just, you know, came off of all time highs, I think. I think JP Morgan’s going to crush, I think big, I think it’s good. The entire, all of corporate America is going to crush. We are in, we’re in the zone. This is that time where people figure out, okay, this is different, this time is different, right? Again, as you know, our forecasts have been 5% GDP growth since last July. We predicted would happen the first quarter this year. Of course, Atlanta Fed now is already at 5.4%. But again, it’s not official.
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We’ll find out where the, you know, Q4 comes in. But regardless, you know, I think my GDP growth estimates are too low for 2028. I mean, I’ve been at 8%. Tyler thinks it’s going to be much stronger, as you heard on his podcast last week. Great podcast. Tyler’s gonna be Joining us now, every Tuesday and Thursday, I’ll have money Wednesday and Friday. On most weeks, Tyler’s gonna have Tuesday and Thursday. Of course he does videos.
He is, he’s much better at this than I am. I will tell you. Communicating and doing his research on these things. A lot of what I do is just based on what I’ve learned over my career. But I think we’re a pretty good, you know, one, two punch. But bottom line, you know, corporate earnings are really beginning to take off. We’ve had five quarters in a row now. Earnings have grown more than 10%.
As I shared the chart this morning, Wall Street’s catching up, right? The estimates for 2026 are for corporate earnings. SB 500 are 13%, 14%, 15% and 18%. We think that we’re going to average better than 20% corporate earnings growth for 2026. If you wonder what’s driving the markets higher, it’s, it’s, it’s not smoke and mirrors, folks. Hey, this is the real deal. This is why the market’s going to accelerate higher from here. This is why we told you we believe that this year would represent, we’d have gains of 30% in the SB 550% NASDAQ. This is that year that the innovation revolution comes to Wall Street.
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This is the year that people realize we are living in different times. This is a golden age of America dawning. Wall street is now beginning to catch up with that. So in this environment again, this is when you have a meltable market. That, as you know, that’s what we’ve been telling you here. And today’s reversal, I mean, we got, you know, the other news we got yesterday was, of course, the fact that the doj, Department of Justice now is going after Jay Powell, right? For, for, for bogus. For lying to Congress about the cost of their Federal Reserve makeover. All right, when Trump, if you remember the video, when they are, he and Jay Powell were standing by each other, had hard hats on Trump, had the numbers in front of him, and he goes, this doesn’t make sense.
Look at this. And Jay Powell was like clueless. Didn’t even know what, what you could see. He wanted to be anywhere other than where he was. It was video. And Trump, Trump knew when he saw the cost and the overruns, Trump knew right away he had him. And Bill, Bill Pulte, again, close ally of Trump, went back to Powell’s testimony for Congress and said he lied under oath. And that’s what this doj.
Otherwise, look, they all lie under Oath, we know this, okay? But Trump is applying maximum pressure. That’s what this is about. But again, he, it’s not like he didn’t land up. Powell lied under oath about these cost overruns. Trump knew he had them and he’s got him. Pulte knows as well. So, you know, I think the big tell for us was last night, you know, just after matter of fact, these charges had not this announcement investigation had not even been made public yet until Jay Powell, you’ve probably seen it by now, did his video last night. It looked like a hostage video.
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You hear Powell was gulping. He was nervous in front of the camera. He didn’t want to be there. Someone told him he had to be there. You got to have this. You know, that’s, that’s it. When you’re a crooked, the best way to tell people you’re not a crook in the minds of crooks is to come out really, and be strong. Right? You see this? Democrats do this all the time.
Tim Waltz did it, right? And now, of course, he’s probably going to prison. I don’t think that Jay Powell is going to prison, but again, this is about leverage. Trump knows he has it. Trump knows that the Federal Reserve is part of the deep state, matter of fact, probably the most powerful part at the end of the day of the state because they control so much with interest rate policy and other policy. And Trump knows that if he can get interest rates down by using any kind of leverage he has to use. And the Fed, of course, has been fighting him on this. This is also a message to other Fed presidents and governors, voting members of the Fed, that, look, when Powell’s gone, don’t think about throwing a backbone in a spine to tackle, to take me on. You’re going to fall in line with my new Fed chair and you’re gonna do what we fucking tell you to do.
Sorry, that’s just the way it’s gonna be. And for those that think that, oh, this, this is, this is going to destroy Fed independence. You do not know your Federal Reserve history. You don’t know the, the, the true story of what presidents have done to, to previous Fed chairs behind closed doors, okay, this is not some distant relationship. That, whether it’s. There’s no Chinese wall here, okay? The, the Federal Reserve and we have this hardcore evidence of this. When Trump is president, you can. He did appoint jay Powell in 2018.
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Since Powell has been Fed chair when Trump is president, they have very tight industry policy, right? With high rates. Oh, but, but, but when, when Biden was president. We had zero percent rates at the same time they were printing $7 trillion. There was no reason during COVID for them to keep the plan. Demic. Excuse me, I. It’s not really Covid. Right.
It’s always the plandemic. They had no reason for keeping interest rates at 0% while they were printing $7 trillion. That was done to help their party, the Democrat Party. Again, it’s not the Democratic Party. Please, people, stop saying that. There’s nothing democratic about the Democrats. It is a the Democrat Party. And again, there’s nothing democratic about them.
It’s. Words matter, right? And it certainly does in this case. But Trump’s of course got this all figured out. He’s applying all the leverage he can. I love to see it. I applauded it when I saw Jay Powell’s hostage video last night. I knew right away that’s a tell. That’s a tell that they know this is serious and is to tell that they know they’re losing the argument.
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They’re losing it with the American people as they rightly should. Look at all the other Fed presidents that, that Lisa Cook, all the ones that have been found guilty of insider trading and had to resign. Right. How many others are there? Trump is about to. As we said last week, Trump has neutered the Federal Reserve and now he’s. This is the kill shot with Jay Powell. So I think again we saw this. You know, futures got slashed last night once this news came out.
We told you this morning our letter, I told you on Twitter yesterday, X. I should say that we love buying lower. Monday opens today was that opportunity. Again, big reversal. Dow Jones almost 500. Matter of fact, it was a 500 point reversal. The Dow Jones NASDAQ closed up 62 points at one point. It was down 192 more than 200 points in futures.
Again, big reversals here. That’s a good smart money hour. Again we’re seeing. I’m being a little repetitive here, but this is textbook bull market action. Led by the semis, led by a Nasdaq, led by small caps hitting all time highs back to back days. Now that’s pretty rare. You don’t see that a whole lot. And we just saw it again today.
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It’s a tell. This market is going higher. It’s gaining speed and velocity and that’s the side of the market we want to be on. What else today? Oh, as Tyler just reminded me or told me, I didn’t even know this, like six major global indexes also just hit all time high. So again, we started telling you what, a week and a half ago that we, we believed we had a, we were witnessing the birth of the global reflation trade. And that’s what this is. Look at what gold and silver are doing. Look what the stock market, look what the US Market is doing.
Look at what global markets are doing. Look at, look at base metals, precious metals, miners. Right. They’re accelerating because the markets have figured out that this time, this rally, this economic recovery is not going to be kneecapped by the Federal Reserve and global central banks, certainly not in the U.S. and again, the U.S. fed is the most powerful. The Fed, all Fed. So they’re all going to fall in line.
This is what, this is what the smart money has figured out about this market. This is why we’ve been incredibly bullish and remain incredibly bullish. What else today? All right, let’s get to the internals here. I want to spend a few minutes on gold and silver as well. Again, massive moves higher today. Good. Internals not great. One and a half.
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Again, big recovery. Move higher today. Internals. It’s almost, you would think they’d actually be worse than they were today. Pretty good. One and a half to one positive advanced decline for both the NYC and NASDAQ. Volume 55% positive. NASDAQ, NYSE 54.6%.
And this is the, this is, this is a good number here. 614 stocks here in a 52 week high to just 111 hitting a 52 week low. Sectors just, just banging 9 of 11. SPF 100 sectors finish high on the day. Led the upside by consumer staples up 1.4%. Industrials up 8, 10 to the downside financials again, Trump also saying he wants to cap credit card interest rates at 10%. I mean, please, look at the two weeks this guy’s had, right? I mean a lot of this, yes, is for the midterms. Okay, but we’ll take that because the midterms are important.
I wish other Republicans could figure that out. Instead they’re fighting Trump on things they shouldn’t be fighting them all. But again, the Rhinos are everywhere and maybe one of these days we’ll find out how many of these Rhinos are being paid through these NGO scams. You know, let’s hope that all happens in short order because guarantee you, I would say 80% of Republicans elected office are just as big a criminal as the Democrats are. I think that’s a safe bet. I, my guess is you’re, you’re nodding your head in agreement as well. Um, again, financials are down. They were down sharply.
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Again, even they came back with this credit card cap idea of whether or not Trump could pull that off. Uh, you know, again, that’s probably going to take Congress act, congressional action. But again, it’s the messaging. These credit card companies know that they are ripping people off. They know this. Everyone knows this. Just the fact that Trump is calling him to the carpet on this means that change is coming. He may not get it to 10%, but you know what? People are paying 28% on outstanding balances.
That’s usury. If it’s not, it should be. Right. So if Trump could just get them to maybe agree to drop that rate to 15, maybe 18%, I think we could live with that. Because it’s not that they don’t take risks. They do take risks. Right. But again, what they’re doing now is outrageous.
What they’ve been getting away with is outrageous. Again, Trump is the only person tackling this. And just kudos and bravo to this man. For what? For what he’s trying to get done here. What else today? All right, let’s go to commodities. I wrote this up this morning. Again, just $108 gain in gold today, and now 4,608. Remember, our target’s 15,000.
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So we’ve been, we’ve been. I think. I think it’s safe to say there’s been nobody in America more bullish than this. There are people higher profile, no question about that. But again, for our newer folks, we recommended gold in my second ever letter in 2003 at 350 bucks an ounce. Recommended silver that same letter at $5 an ounce. Okay. We have net gains of better than 1100%.
10 backers in both gold and silver. And of course, we’ve also recommended that people save in gold rather than fiat currency. We still recommend that today. And again, I think it’s silver today, up 7%. 85. 15. For silver, it’s going to 100. It’s going beyond 100.
If gold’s going to 15,000, which I believe it is, what’s silver going to? 300. 250. Right. This is, again, we have a long Runway in front of us of gains in gold and silver. Of course, that means the miners are really going to take off. Right. That’s where the leverage is. But that’s where the big, especially junior miner.
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You find a good junior miner with at least 3 million ounces of gold in the round, in the ground, a good management team and a clean balance Sheet. These are all important. Okay? In, in a, in a, in, in a, in a safe location, right? Meaning nowhere where they can nationalize these companies if they choose to. Okay, so it’s very important to be us. North America. Australia is still a safe locale. But again, find a safe location, at least 3 million ounces of gold in the ground. With a good balance sheet and a good management team, frankly, you’re going to get very rich off these in the next two, three years.
Because when this group moves, it moves in cycles and they tend to last at least two years and typically more than three years. And again, we’re just now, we’re just now into year two now. But people was asking, you know, doesn’t gold look toppy here? I mean, Kip, we’re almost at 5,000 an ounce. Silver’s been soaring. No, the gold’s been going higher and will continue to go higher for two primary reasons. Look, obviously the money printing machine is never going to turn off. That’s a big part of it. But there are two other things that most people don’t talk about.
JP Morgan in 2000, excuse me, 2020, was found guilty of manipulating gold and silver prices lower for decades. They paid a $920 million fine. Two years later, several Gold JP Morgan traders were found guilty. These are felony charges, right? And you know, we, I don’t know if they went to prison, probably not, but they lost their licenses to, to, to be, you know, to trade on exchanges. And this sent a signal. And again, Gada Gold Antitrust Action Committee, all of their work is the reason this happened. And they worked on this for two decades. Just, just rock stars, frankly.
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There should be statues to them around America for the work that they’ve done here. Because gold and silver were just manipulated beyond the. Beyond what? Anything you can imagine. And that’s how J.P. morgan, Goldman Sachs, Global Money center, banks as well. It’s how they made so much money. This was a license to print money for them by rigging these gold and silver markets. Well, that ended.
That ended when JP Morgan pled guilty and paid the fine. The prices bottom that year. And this was like, I think this took place in like April. Prices bottomed in, in June, July, and since then they’ve only gone higher. So we’re, in essence, we’re witnessing true price discovery taking place here. That’s number one again, no more manipulation of gold and silver. Number two, and again, gold and silver. The current prices there right now, this, this should have been where they were a decade ago, right? This is.
These Exact prices. They should have been this price a decade ago, number two. And this is also a big reason, I believe the smart money knows this. We’ve heard this whispered about by, by people that we know that think this is being worked on. I believe that it is. Within 12 months, we expect Trump to announce that as we cover with you here on, on our podcast, that they’re going to begin backing long term treasury offers partially, not, not fully with it by a basket of gold, silver and bitcoin. All right. This will not only drive massive buying pressure in both gold and silver and bitcoin, again, we love it as well.
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But it’s also going to allow Trump and Besson, of course, just extraordinarily good. Treasury Secretary is going to allow the U.S. government to issue debt at less than 2%. They will call all the other debt, our average debt is 3.3% by the way. They will call all of our other debt mid, midterm and long term debt and then replace it with this 2% rate. And if you think that can’t do it, let me just tell you that again. Have you not met Donald Trump? This is what his long term plan is. And you know, look, look at, look at the White House.
What does it look like to you? It looks like a big gold coin to me. Look at, look at Trump’s Trump Tower. And in New York, what do you see? You see the same thing. Trump’s love gold forever. And so this makes sense from every point of view. Again, we continue to recommend this group. They’re a little overbought, but frankly, not much. They’ve worked off some of that.
We think that, we think that it doesn’t matter really, even if they get extreme or bottle steroids. I think that we may pause our buying at some point, but we’re not going to sell. There’s just no way we’re going to sell until this move completes itself. But again, the, the junior miners and again, I, to respect our members here, I, I won’t put out the names of our favorite junior. We own two. But I will tell you that these moves are in their infancy. Right? This is essentially the first inning of where these stocks are going, along with gold and silver. All right, folks, let’s look at, oh, other commodities.
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Right? Let’s cover that first here today. A copper today was up 1.7%, just over $6 a pound. Crude oil bouncing 73 cents a barrel. And at 59, 67. And finally, Bitcoin, 91,317, up 9/10 of a percent over the last 24 hours. All right, folks, that’s it for the day. Hope you had a great day and you better. Night.
Go, Texans. We’ll see you back here tomorrow after the close.