Podcast

Kip Herriage Live On Making Money with Charles Payne – May 15, 2024

Check out Kips latest interview on Making Money with Charles Paynes. Kip dives into why it's crucial not to fight the tape or the Fed in the current financial climate. Kip shares his expert insights, suggesting ample upside potent ...

Posted On May 15, 2024Making Money with Charles Payne
Share:

Listen On

About This Episode

Check out Kips latest interview on Making Money with Charles Paynes. Kip dives into why it's crucial not to fight the tape or the Fed in the current financial climate. Kip shares his expert insights, suggesting ample upside potential as the market starts discounting the inflation story, and forecasts rate cuts from key central banks. They also discuss the parabolic rise of utility stocks and the intriguing opportunities in small caps and miners.

Transcript

Charles Payne [00:00:01]:
All right, so my next guest continues to say, don’t fight the tape and don’t fight the Fed. Joining me now, vertical research advisory management partner, Kip Heritage. And, Kip, you know, you say that there’s direct evidence that the market discounting is discounting the inflation story. So what does that mean? More upside from here?

Kip Herriage [00:00:20]:
Yeah, we think a lot more upside. Charles, again, thanks for having me back on today. You know, since the birth of QE, some very interesting things have happened as it pertains to central banks. The Fed and the bank of England and the ECB have acted in coordination, complete coordination. Together they act together. We got telegraphing this week from the BoE and ECB that they’re going to be cutting rates likely in June. That means the Fed’s going to follow shortly thereafter. So we think we’re seeing now utility stocks going, utility stocks going parabolic.

Kip Herriage [00:00:51]:
What? They’re the largest borrowers of money in the country, so they’re very interest rate sensitive. You won’t find a group more so than you. Utility stocks going parabolic. All these signals, tenure yield collapsing, all these signals are telling us what the Fed is going to do, that inflation is now in our rearview mirror. It just is. And that’s our, that’s our view. The market, we believe, is telling us that we think we’ve got a big move higher ahead of us. The best time to be long stocks in a presidential election year is where we are right now through the month of August.

Kip Herriage [00:01:21]:
This is time to be long and strong.

Charles Payne [00:01:22]:
Right. And I saw a tweet from you that you talked about copper and, of course, the implications for the strong global economy. But what bothers me is that we have, the global economy is strong. Why would these central banks be cutting, you know, we look at China, we still can’t get its act together, you know, so I feel like maybe the utility play, the copper play, maybe those are more electricity demand centric than a traditional proxy for economies.

Kip Herriage [00:01:51]:
No question is part of that as well. It’s a combination. But as the largest borrowers of money, that’s our view. But I think these Fed, these central bank rates have been restrictive for far too long. The Federal Reserve shouldn’t have been at five and a quarter to five and a half percent where they are now. They shouldn’t have been here for a long time. Rates are probably 1% higher on the Fed funds rate than they should be right now. So the Fed’s got, we think, at least two to three rate cuts this year.

Kip Herriage [00:02:15]:
That’s been our view from the beginning of the year. We think the markets are discounting that now. We think that’s going to continue. But I will say in a very short term basis, we are hitting extreme overbought levels on some of our most closely watched momentum oscillators. Nvidia reports next Wednesday for our trading accounts, for option accounts. We will be looking to take some profits into that report.

Charles Payne [00:02:36]:
So let me get this straight. Take some semiconductor tech profits off the table before Nvidia reports into that report.

Kip Herriage [00:02:45]:
For trading accounts only.

Charles Payne [00:02:47]:
All right. And let me real quick ask you about small caps because they’re looking better. You know, they’ve been a lot of fits and false starts with small caps, but they are looking a little bit better here. Time to get more aggressive.

Kip Herriage [00:02:57]:
Yeah, I think so. As last time is on your show, that was at one of our favorite positions. We’re in the three time leveraged ETF, small caps, assembles, TNA there. We think you continue to buy that. It’s up like 40% in the last, was it three, four months? We think that moves going to continue, Charles, there, what, 20% plus or 15% plus below their all time high. And we really like the miners here. Gold, of course, is very near an all time high. Just hit that last month.

Kip Herriage [00:03:25]:
The GDX, the minor ETF, is still 22% below its all time high, but it’s up 40% in the last two months. So we like the miners here a lot. Of course, a lot of those are in small caps.

Charles Payne [00:03:36]:
Yeah, absolutely. Hey, kev, great stuff, my friend. Thank you very much.

Kip Herriage [00:03:41]:
Thank you, Charles. Good to be back.

Charles Payne [00:03:42]:
Hey, folks, I want to talk.

Podcast Newsletter

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Listen On

Time Stamps

00:00 Borrowers, interest rates, market signals, presidential year.
03:25 GDX ETF showing strong growth despite dip.

More Episodes

1569 | March 14, 2025
VRA Investing Podcast: Stock Market Rally, Global Rotations, And Next Week’s FOMC – Tyler Herriage – March 14, 2025

In today's episode, Tyler discusses a strong close to another rough week for our markets. The S&P 500 has now declined for four consecutive weeks since its all-time high in February. We’ll explore the factors contributing to this dip and the potential scenarios we see playing out from here. Tune into today's podcast to learn more.

1568 | March 13, 2025
VRA Investing Podcast: Market Woes, The Ripple Effect of Trump’s Tariff Tactics – Kip Herriage – March 13, 2025

In today's episode, Kip discusses the volatility affecting US markets and the impact of President Trump's latest tariff policies. We'll explore how these policies are impacting not just the markets, but also the very supporters who helped elect him. Plus, Kip covers the record highs in gold and the bullish outlook for gold miners and junior miners. Tune into today's podcast to learn more.

1567 | March 12, 2025
VRA Investing Podcast: Disinflationary Data, Tech Leading, And Contrarian Perspectives – Tyler Herriage – March 12, 2025

In today's episode, Tyler breaks down this morning's latest look at inflation data with the Consumer Price Index (CPI). We also saw the tech sector bounce back big today, fueled by better-than-expected economic data and good news for the semiconductors. Additionally, he covers likely upcoming Federal Reserve Policy changes and the potential for a big move higher in stocks. Tune into today's podcast to learn more.

1566 | March 11, 2025
VRA Investing Podcast: Navigating the Market Shakeout: Tesla, Trump, and the Path Forward – Kip Herriage – March 11, 2025

In today's episode, Kip covers a lot of ground on the current market dynamics, including Tesla's potential rebound and the shakeout we're seeing in tech stocks. Despite the turbulence, Kip's conviction is strong—this is an innovation revolution and Trump 2.0 is on the horizon. We're in the infant stages of a bull market, and he emphasizes the importance of staying in the game. Tune into today's podcast to learn more.

1565 | March 10, 2025
VRA Investing Podcast: Political Strategies, Collateral Damage, And Market Volatility – Kip Herriage – March 10, 2025

In today's episode, Kip breaks down recent market turbulence, including today's rough start to the week. Despite these tough conditions, Kip highlights the potential for a bounce-back, given a few key market analytics and current extreme oversold levels. Additionally, Kip presents a contrarian perspective on recession fears, arguing that market decline is more of a short-term US-centric event amid strong global markets. Tune into today's podcast to learn more.